league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
BR1 0:30
Corinthians (4) - Vitoria (6)
1 3
59 25 15
1.80 3.35 4.50
   
61 u/o 38
1.54   2.40
res. 2-1
BR1 0:30
Flamengo (11) - Internacional (8)
X 3
40 34 25
2.10 3.25 3.40
U 13
77 u/o 22
1.56   2.35
res. 2-0
BR1 2:00
Coritiba (3) - Botafogo RJ (2)
1 0
65 21 11
1.55 3.75 6.00
U 3
56 u/o 43
1.87   1.88
res. 2-0
BR1 2:00
Gremio (5) - Figueirense
   
41 28 29
1.44 3.90 7.50
   
60 u/o 39
1.56   2.35
res. 1-0
BR1 3:00
Chapecoense-SC - Sao Paulo (19)
   
45 27 26
2.70 3.20 2.50
   
60 u/o 39
1.60   2.25
res. 0-0
BR1 3:00
Santos FC (13) - Fluminense (15)
1 2
58 25 15
1.80 3.40 4.50
U 8
63 u/o 36
1.82   1.93
res. 0-1
BR1 3:30
Sport - Goias (12)
   
49 27 22
2.00 3.20 3.65
   
62 u/o 37
1.50   2.50
res. 0-1
US1 4:30
Real Salt Lake - Chivas USA
   
59 15 16
1.30 5.00 9.00
   
17 u/o 82
2.16   1.66
res. 2-0
UEFA 19:00
FC Krasnodar - Wolfsburg
   
59 22 17
2.45 3.45 2.85
   
48 u/o 51
1.98   1.79
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Din. Minsk - Guingamp
   
53 25 21
2.60 3.10 2.90
O 5
54 u/o 45
1.51   2.48
res.  
UEFA 20:00
AaB Aalborg - Dynamo Kiev
   
32 27 39
4.50 3.62 1.80
   
55 u/o 44
1.74   2.04
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Lille - Everton
2 8
31 25 42
2.50 3.15 2.90
O 5
50 u/o 49
1.59   2.28
res.  
UEFA 20:00
PAOK Saloniki - Fiorentina
2 2
31 26 42
3.00 3.20 2.47
O 3
51 u/o 48
1.64   2.20
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Rijeka - Feyenoord
   
53 24 21
2.35 3.45 3.00
   
50 u/o 49
1.93   1.83
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Slovan - Sparta Prague
   
23 25 49
4.85 3.65 1.72
   
54 u/o 45
1.79   1.98
res.  
UEFA 20:00
St.Liege - Sevilla
   
84 13 0
4.75 3.70 1.72
   
67 u/o 32
1.93   1.83
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Steaua - Rio Ave
   
42 24 31
1.53 4.00 6.70
O 6
46 u/o 53
1.68   2.14
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Trabzonspor - Lokeren
   
38 24 35
1.67 3.75 5.35
   
44 u/o 55
2.00   1.76
res.  
UEFA 20:00
Young Boys - Napoli
   
39 28 31
3.60 3.55 2.03
U 7
59 u/o 40
1.93   1.83
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Gladbach - Apollon Limassol
   
51 23 23
1.20 6.50 14.00
U 3
45 u/o 54
2.40   1.55
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Celtic - Fc Astra Ploiesti
   
53 25 21
1.60 3.90 5.88
   
54 u/o 45
1.83   1.93
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Club Brugge - FC Copenhagen
   
52 24 22
1.75 3.60 4.95
   
50 u/o 49
1.83   1.93
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Dnipro - Qarabag
   
41 27 31
1.50 4.05 7.15
   
55 u/o 44
1.74   2.04
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Estoril - Dinamo Moscow
2 1
23 25 49
3.65 3.30 2.10
   
54 u/o 45
1.64   2.20
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Inter - St.Etienne
   
49 24 25
1.70 3.65 5.25
O 5
47 u/o 52
1.68   2.12
res.  
UEFA 22:05
PSV Eindhoven - Panathinaikos
   
42 24 31
1.60 3.90 5.85
O 2
46 u/o 53
1.79   1.98
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Partizan Belgrad - Besiktas
   
53 25 21
2.85 3.20 2.57
   
54 u/o 45
1.64   2.20
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Salzburg - Din. Zagreb
   
52 24 22
1.50 4.60 6.00
U 7
50 u/o 49
2.33   1.58
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Torino - HJK Helsinki
   
51 23 23
1.38 4.50 9.55
O 2
45 u/o 54
1.83   1.93
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Tottenham - Asteras Tripolis
   
42 24 31
1.30 5.20 11.00
   
46 u/o 53
2.07   1.72
res.  
UEFA 22:05
Villarreal - FC Zurich
   
45 24 28
1.38 4.75 8.60
   
47 u/o 52
2.12   1.68
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.