league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
BR1 2:00
Flamengo (11) - -1
   
50 24 24
1.40 4.40 7.50
   
49 u/o 50
1.88   1.88
res.  
CHL 21:00
Sparta Prague - Steaua
   
49 23 25
1.72 3.60 4.90
O 14
42 u/o 57
1.61   2.30
res.  
CHL 21:00
BATE Borisov - Dundalk
   
55 23 20
1.38 4.30 9.95
O 3
50 u/o 49
1.64   2.18
res.  
CHL 21:00
Ludogorets - R.S. Belgrad
   
43 27 28
1.85 3.35 4.75
   
57 u/o 42
1.61   2.23
res.  
CHL 21:00
Partizani - Salzburg
   
45 24 29
5.90 4.10 1.55
O 3
47 u/o 52
1.72   2.05
res.  
CHL 21:15
Plzen - Qarabag
   
49 23 25
1.55 3.80 6.50
O 11
42 u/o 57
1.64   2.18
res.  
CHL 21:45
Shakhtar Dnk. - Young Boys
   
53 24 21
1.46 4.25 7.00
   
50 u/o 49
1.84   1.97
res.  
CHL 21:45
Din. Zagreb - Din. Tbilisi
   
43 27 29
1.30 5.25 10.00
U 9
55 u/o 44
2.18   1.64
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.