league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
RU1 17:00
Ural (12) - Terek Grozny (14)
   
43 26 29
4.80 3.60 1.75
O 3
54 u/o 45
1.54   2.38
res.  
RO1 18:30
-1 - Univ. Craiova
2 9
20 26 53
3.10 3.00 2.25
   
60 u/o 39
1.55   2.30
res.  
DN1 19:00
AGF (8) - Esbjerg (11)
   
46 26 26
2.50 3.40 2.80
U 8
56 u/o 43
2.08   1.78
res.  
PL1 19:00
Podbeskidzie (16) - Lechia Gdansk (8)
   
37 24 37
3.00 3.30 2.35
O 3
45 u/o 54
1.78   1.98
res.  
GE2 19:30
Union Berlin (7) - RB Leipzig
   
40 26 33
3.40 3.30 2.15
   
52 u/o 47
1.79   1.98
res.  
GE2 19:30
Heidenheim - Kaiserslautern (2)
2 2
33 23 41
2.80 3.20 2.55
O 13
39 u/o 60
1.69   2.12
res.  
GE2 19:30
Freiburg - SV Sandhausen (15)
   
39 25 34
1.85 3.50 4.30
   
48 u/o 51
1.84   1.93
res.  
NO1 20:00
Aalesund (1) - Valerenga (15)
   
37 22 37
2.60 3.40 2.60
O 5
34 u/o 65
2.28   1.66
res.  
SW1 20:00
Hammarby - Kalmar (4)
1 5
58 21 17
1.90 3.50 4.00
O 1
45 u/o 54
1.95   1.89
res.  
BG1 20:00
Ludogorets (1) - Slavia Sofia (11)
   
74 15 6
1.28 4.50 10.50
   
48 u/o 51
1.85   1.85
res.  
NT1 21:00
Willem II (18) - NEC Nijmegen (9)
   
43 23 31
1.75 3.60 4.75
O 2
41 u/o 58
2.02   1.77
res.  
FR2 21:00
Dijon (6) - Creteil (14)
   
52 23 22
1.73 3.40 5.00
O 5
47 u/o 52
1.68   2.12
res.  
FR2 21:00
-1 - Brest (16)
2 3
37 28 33
2.32 2.95 3.30
O 3
59 u/o 40
1.44   2.70
res.  
FR2 21:00
-1 - Valenciennes
   
50 27 21
1.95 3.15 4.15
   
62 u/o 37
1.49   2.55
res.  
FR2 21:00
Ajaccio - Tours (4)
   
41 26 32
2.10 3.05 3.80
O 10
51 u/o 48
1.46   2.60
res.  
FR2 21:00
Auxerre (13) - Nimes (18)
   
50 27 21
1.70 3.30 5.50
   
62 u/o 37
1.49   2.50
res.  
FR2 21:00
-1 - Sochaux
   
45 28 25
2.60 3.00 2.85
   
62 u/o 37
1.50   2.50
res.  
FR2 21:00
Clermont Foot (10) - Nancy (8)
   
44 27 27
2.70 2.95 2.75
O 1
58 u/o 41
1.50   2.50
res.  
FR2 21:00
Niort (9) - Laval (17)
2 10
33 27 38
2.15 3.05 3.60
O 3
57 u/o 42
1.48   2.55
res.  
RO1 21:00
Politehnica Iasi - Fcm Targu Mures
2 25
14 24 61
2.45 3.10 2.75
   
60 u/o 39
1.52   2.35
res.  
TR1 21:15
Gaziantepspor (12) - Besiktas (5)
   
22 24 52
5.50 3.75 1.60
   
50 u/o 49
1.76   2.00
res.  
SP1 21:30
Villarreal (4) - Espanyol (8)
   
48 26 24
1.52 3.85 7.50
   
56 u/o 43
1.73   2.16
res.  
GE1 21:30
Wolfsburg (8) - Schalke 04 (13)
1 22
72 16 8
2.00 3.45 3.80
U 2
45 u/o 54
2.35   1.62
res.  
BL1 21:30
Genk (6) - Charleroi (10)
   
32 25 41
1.85 3.40 4.30
   
48 u/o 51
1.96   1.81
res.  
FR1 21:30
Guingamp (14) - Marseille (5)
2 1
19 28 51
3.90 3.35 2.00
U 2
66 u/o 33
1.57   2.35
res.  
PL1 21:30
Wisla Krakow (4) - Slask (11)
2 5
35 25 38
2.35 3.25 3.05
O 2
48 u/o 51
1.74   2.04
res.  
EGC 21:45
Blackburn (10) - Bolton (19)
1 2
55 24 19
1.90 3.60 4.10
U 0
54 u/o 45
1.86   1.91
res.  
IRP 21:45
Bohemians (12) - Dundalk (2)
   
4 14 77
6.50 4.25 1.45
   
51 u/o 48
1.92   1.84
res.  
IRP 21:45
Cork City (7) - Galway
   
67 18 11
1.22 5.50 14.00
   
45 u/o 54
2.20   1.63
res.  
IRP 21:45
Drogheda (8) - Limerick (6)
X 2
47 31 21
2.35 3.40 2.75
U 24
72 u/o 27
2.07   1.72
res.  
IRP 21:45
St.Patricks (1) - Derry (4)
   
79 13 3
1.40 4.40 7.50
   
50 u/o 49
1.92   1.84
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.