league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
RO1 18:00
Ceahlaul (9) - Pandurii Tg Jiu (4)
2 2
11 22 64
5.25 3.50 1.60
   
58 u/o 41
1.67   2.12
res. 1-1
CZ1 19:00
Brno (10) - Ostrava (13)
   
44 27 27
2.30 3.10 3.00
   
58 u/o 41
1.57   2.33
res. 0-0
PL1 19:00
Ruch Chorzow (6) - Pogon Szczecin (3)
   
45 25 27
2.35 3.20 3.00
O 4
51 u/o 48
1.60   2.25
res. 2-1
GE2 19:30
Nurnberg - Heidenheim
1 2
55 22 20
1.90 3.55 4.00
O 6
44 u/o 55
1.74   2.04
res.  
GE2 19:30
Erzg Aue (4) - Ingolstadt (16)
X 1
38 32 29
4.00 3.20 2.00
U 9
72 u/o 27
1.59   2.30
res.  
GE2 19:30
Dusseldorf (13) - Bochum (11)
1 5
52 23 23
2.15 3.30 3.50
   
46 u/o 53
1.93   1.83
res.  
TR1 20:00
Kasimpasa (4) - Akhisar Belediye (10)
1 3
63 21 14
1.68 3.60 4.70
   
48 u/o 51
1.90   1.85
res.  
RO1 20:30
Fcm Targu Mures - Dinamo Bucuresti (5)
X 1
38 31 29
2.40 3.30 2.65
U 14
70 u/o 29
1.77   1.98
res.  
FR2 21:00
Ajaccio - Creteil (14)
   
42 28 29
2.25 3.10 3.25
   
60 u/o 39
1.56   2.33
res.  
FR2 21:00
Angers (3) - Niort (9)
1 8
53 25 21
2.20 3.00 3.50
O 1
55 u/o 44
1.56   2.35
res.  
FR2 21:00
Nancy (8) - Laval (17)
   
50 27 21
1.60 3.50 6.00
   
61 u/o 38
1.60   2.28
res.  
FR2 21:00
Nimes (18) - GFC Ajaccio
   
48 26 24
2.70 3.00 2.70
O 0
56 u/o 43
1.55   2.35
res.  
FR2 21:00
Orleans - Valenciennes
   
45 26 27
2.05 3.05 3.90
O 5
55 u/o 44
1.49   2.55
res.  
FR2 21:00
Sochaux - Tours (4)
   
45 26 27
1.78 3.30 4.85
O 0
55 u/o 44
1.59   2.28
res.  
FR2 21:00
Troyes (11) - Clermont Foot (10)
   
57 24 17
1.57 3.60 6.25
   
58 u/o 41
1.65   2.17
res.  
NT1 21:00
Willem II (18) - Twente (5)
   
38 22 37
2.65 3.45 2.55
O 16
31 u/o 68
1.85   1.91
res.  
GE1 21:30
Stuttgart (14) - Hertha BSC (6)
1 7
57 21 19
2.00 3.35 3.75
O 11
43 u/o 56
1.65   2.20
res.  
FR1 21:30
Toulouse (11) - Marseille (5)
2 15
19 22 56
3.00 3.10 2.45
O 4
45 u/o 54
1.76   2.02
res.  
PL1 21:30
Lech Poznan (9) - Jagiellonia Bialystok (7)
   
40 25 33
1.55 3.75 6.60
   
50 u/o 49
1.85   1.90
res.  
SP1 21:45
Levante (7) - Eibar
1 2
49 26 23
2.15 3.20 3.65
O 5
57 u/o 42
1.45   2.70
res.  
EGC 21:45
Fulham - Bournemouth (15)
   
27 26 45
3.80 3.65 1.95
U 5
55 u/o 44
2.00   1.76
res.  
IRP 21:45
Shamrock (5) - St.Patricks (1)
2 24
14 23 60
2.50 3.00 2.75
   
58 u/o 41
1.64   2.18
res.  
PR1 22:30
Braga (4) - Porto (2)
   
44 26 29
4.40 3.35 1.82
   
53 u/o 46
1.73   2.06
res.  
AR1 23:00
Atlеtico Huracаn - Gimnasia L.P. (7)
   
50 26 22
3.00 3.00 2.40
O 4
58 u/o 41
1.44   2.70
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.