league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
BR1 1:30
Figueirense - Botafogo RJ (2)
2 3
33 26 39
2.40 3.20 2.80
   
53 u/o 46
1.71   2.07
res. 1-0
BR1 1:30
Santos FC (13) - Atletico PR (7)
1 4
62 21 14
1.72 3.40 4.75
   
51 u/o 48
1.80   1.96
res. 2-0
BR1 1:30
Sport - Palmeiras
   
45 28 26
2.30 3.20 2.95
   
61 u/o 38
1.60   2.25
res. 2-1
BR1 3:00
Bahia (10) - Criciuma (17)
X 2
40 31 28
1.70 3.50 4.75
U 3
69 u/o 30
1.51   2.48
res. 0-0
BR1 3:00
Coritiba (3) - Vitoria (6)
X 2
36 31 31
1.70 3.50 4.75
U 8
70 u/o 29
1.61   2.25
res. 2-0
BR1 4:00
Chapecoense-SC - Fluminense (15)
2 8
22 25 51
3.00 3.10 2.35
O 4
55 u/o 44
1.51   2.48
res. 1-0
BR1 4:00
Flamengo (11) - Atletico MG (16)
   
34 30 34
2.55 3.20 2.60
U 7
67 u/o 32
1.68   2.12
res. 2-1
BR1 4:00
Internacional (8) - Sao Paulo (19)
X 2
40 31 28
1.85 3.40 4.00
U 11
69 u/o 30
1.71   2.07
res. 0-1
US1 4:00
Colorado Rapids - LA Galaxy
X 0
34 30 34
3.10 3.35 2.15
U 15
67 u/o 32
1.93   1.83
res. 3-4
US1 5:00
Seattle Sounders - SJ Earthquakes
   
48 25 25
1.58 3.75 5.25
U 3
54 u/o 45
1.97   1.79
res. 1-1
UEFA 18:00
Aktobe Lento - Legia
   
32 25 41
3.40 3.30 2.10
O 1
48 u/o 51
1.75   2.00
res. 0-1
UEFA 18:30
Dinamo Moscow - Omonia Nicosia
   
35 28 35
1.25 5.75 10.00
U 13
60 u/o 39
2.15   1.65
res. 2-2
UEFA 19:00
Apollon Limassol - Tottenham
   
0 0 0
7.50 4.50 1.39
   
0 u/o 0
1.90   1.84
res. 1-2
UEFA 19:45
PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtyor Soligorsk
   
21 23 54
1.20 6.20 13.00
U 7
48 u/o 51
2.45   1.51
res. 1-0
UEFA 20:00
Elfsborg - Rio Ave
2 26
17 24 56
2.10 3.40 3.30
   
57 u/o 42
1.60   2.25
res. 2-1
UEFA 20:00
Karabukspor - St.Etienne
   
38 25 35
4.10 3.30 1.90
O 7
49 u/o 50
1.55   2.35
res. 1-0
UEFA 20:15
Petrolul - Din. Zagreb
1 3
50 24 24
2.15 3.30 3.30
O 2
47 u/o 52
1.75   2.00
res.  
UEFA 20:45
Zorya Luhansk - Feyenoord
   
53 24 20
3.20 3.30 2.20
   
53 u/o 46
1.69   2.08
res.  
UEFA 21:05
Zimbru Chisinau - PAOK Saloniki
   
30 23 45
5.30 3.60 1.64
O 16
40 u/o 59
1.55   2.35
res.  
UEFA 21:15
Asteras Tripolis - Maccabi Tel Aviv
   
42 28 28
2.35 3.30 2.90
U 0
61 u/o 38
1.65   2.15
res.  
UEFA 21:15
Grasshoppers - Club Brugge
   
35 28 35
2.80 3.40 2.40
U 4
60 u/o 39
1.80   1.95
res.  
UEFA 21:15
Partizan Belgrad - FK Neftchi
   
27 25 46
1.60 3.75 5.60
   
51 u/o 48
1.75   2.00
res.  
UEFA 21:30
Lyon - Fc Astra Ploiesti
   
44 26 28
1.47 4.10 6.75
U 1
52 u/o 47
1.95   1.80
res.  
UEFA 21:30
R.Sociedad - FC Krasnodar
   
21 23 54
1.85 3.55 4.00
   
48 u/o 51
1.87   1.87
res.  
UEFA 21:30
Rnk split - Torino
   
40 26 32
6.50 4.00 1.50
   
52 u/o 47
1.70   2.08
res.  
UEFA 21:45
Feyenoord - Zorya Luhansk
   
21 23 54
1.30 4.50 11.00
   
48 u/o 51
1.00   1.00
res.  
UEFA 21:45
Omonia Nicosia - Dinamo Moscow
   
39 28 31
6.00 3.40 1.55
   
61 u/o 38
1.00   1.00
res.  
UEFA 21:45
FK Neftchi - Partizan Belgrad
   
39 28 31
2.60 3.30 2.45
   
61 u/o 38
1.00   1.00
res.  
UEFA 22:15
Rijeka - FC Sheriff
   
53 24 20
1.45 4.00 7.70
   
53 u/o 46
1.69   2.08
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.