league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
SP1 20:30
R.Sociedad (9) - Eibar
   
54 24 19
1.80 3.60 4.70
U 1
54 u/o 45
1.88   1.93
res.  
IT2 21:30
Cittadella (18) - Trapani (9)
   
38 27 33
1.95 3.25 4.10
   
55 u/o 44
1.66   2.15
res.  
IT2 21:30
Verona - Ternana (17)
   
49 29 21
1.49 4.00 7.00
   
68 u/o 31
1.82   1.93
res.  
IT2 21:30
Novara (19) - Benevento
2 0
42 27 29
2.25 3.05 3.45
   
56 u/o 43
1.63   2.20
res.  
IT2 21:30
Perugia - Frosinone
2 0
40 28 30
2.30 3.05 3.35
   
61 u/o 38
1.53   2.43
res.  
IT2 21:30
Pisa - Carpi (12)
   
46 27 25
2.45 2.85 3.30
O 8
58 u/o 41
1.37   3.00
res.  
IT2 21:30
Pro Vercelli - Avellino (3)
2 4
38 27 33
2.25 3.05 3.45
O 1
55 u/o 44
1.58   2.30
res.  
IT2 21:30
Salernitana - Spal
   
46 27 25
2.35 3.10 3.20
   
58 u/o 41
1.58   2.32
res.  
IT2 21:30
Spezia (13) - Ascoli
   
53 26 19
1.78 3.30 5.00
   
61 u/o 38
1.55   2.38
res.  
IT2 21:30
Latina (11) - Cesena (8)
   
42 27 29
2.65 2.95 2.90
O 1
56 u/o 43
1.55   2.38
res.  
IT2 21:30
Vicenza - Virtus Entella
2 5
34 28 37
2.40 3.05 3.15
   
60 u/o 39
1.58   2.30
res.  
EGC 21:45
Aston Villa - Bristol City
1 2
49 25 23
2.14 3.40 3.55
   
54 u/o 45
1.69   2.16
res.  
EGC 21:45
Blackburn (10) - Derby (4)
2 5
25 27 46
2.95 3.40 2.43
   
58 u/o 41
1.64   2.25
res.  
EGC 21:45
Brighton (7) - Newcastle
   
43 26 29
2.55 3.20 2.85
O 2
52 u/o 47
1.67   2.20
res.  
EG1 21:45
Bradford (13) - MK Dons (11)
1 7
57 21 19
2.02 3.35 3.70
O 7
43 u/o 56
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG1 21:45
Bury - Coventry (8)
1 9
54 24 20
2.23 3.45 3.05
U 0
52 u/o 47
1.93   1.82
res.  
EG1 21:45
Millwall - Peterborough (6)
   
54 24 20
1.73 3.75 4.50
U 0
52 u/o 47
1.93   1.82
res.  
EG1 21:45
Northampton - Oldham (15)
   
45 26 27
2.18 3.35 3.25
   
53 u/o 46
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG1 21:45
Rochdale - Port Vale (10)
   
54 24 20
1.58 3.95 5.60
U 0
51 u/o 48
1.98   1.77
res.  
EG1 21:45
Scunthorpe - AFC Wimbledon
   
54 22 21
1.83 3.40 4.50
O 4
44 u/o 55
1.77   1.98
res.  
EG1 21:45
Shrewsbury (23) - Charlton
   
39 25 34
2.85 3.20 2.48
   
50 u/o 49
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG1 21:45
Swindon (9) - Gillingham (12)
   
43 25 30
2.43 3.45 2.75
   
48 u/o 51
1.93   1.82
res.  
EG1 21:45
Walsall (7) - Chesterfield
   
56 24 17
1.78 3.45 4.70
U 2
57 u/o 42
1.82   1.93
res.  
EG2 21:45
Accrington (23) - Wycombe (20)
   
41 25 32
2.43 3.45 2.75
   
50 u/o 49
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG2 21:45
Blackpool - Barnet
2 3
41 26 31
1.98 3.55 3.60
   
54 u/o 45
1.82   1.93
res.  
EG2 21:45
Cambridge United - Doncaster
2 2
29 26 43
2.95 3.20 2.43
   
52 u/o 47
1.82   1.93
res.  
EG2 21:45
Cheltenham (14) - Carlisle
2 0
35 27 36
2.50 3.30 2.80
U 2
54 u/o 45
1.93   1.82
res.  
EG2 21:45
Crawley - Exeter (13)
   
30 27 42
3.70 3.45 1.98
U 1
56 u/o 43
1.82   1.93
res.  
EG2 21:45
Grimsby - Colchester
   
36 26 36
2.50 3.45 2.65
   
54 u/o 45
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG2 21:45
Hartlepool (16) - Crewe
   
42 26 31
2.75 3.35 2.48
   
51 u/o 48
1.74   2.04
res.  
EG2 21:45
Plymouth (11) - Notts Co.
1 0
60 25 13
1.68 3.75 4.90
U 13
64 u/o 35
1.98   1.77
res.  
EG2 21:45
Portsmouth (18) - Morecambe (9)
   
43 25 30
1.34 4.90 9.00
U 10
51 u/o 48
2.43   1.53
res.  
EG2 21:45
Stevenage - Leyton Orient
   
51 25 22
1.78 3.60 4.40
U 1
54 u/o 45
1.88   1.88
res.  
EG2 21:45
Yeovil - Mansfield (15)
   
34 25 39
3.15 3.05 2.38
O 9
50 u/o 49
1.50   2.48
res.  
EG1 22:00
Bolton - Bristol R.
1 6
57 21 19
1.98 3.35 3.85
O 8
39 u/o 60
1.82   1.93
res.  
SP1 22:30
Malaga (16) - Betis (18)
   
46 26 26
2.00 3.30 4.00
O 1
54 u/o 45
1.65   2.25
res.  
SP1 22:30
Valencia (11) - Leganes
   
52 25 21
1.73 3.60 5.25
   
54 u/o 45
1.68   2.20
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.