league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
AR1 1:00
Arsenal Sarandi (2) - Gimnasia L.P. (7)
   
41 27 30
2.90 3.00 2.50
O 5
56 u/o 43
1.45   2.65
res. 2-2
AR1 3:15
San Martin S.j. - Colon Santa Fe (19)
   
44 27 27
2.35 3.00 3.20
O 2
60 u/o 40
1.45   2.65
res.  
IT2 19:30
Ascoli - Cesena (8)
   
41 27 31
2.95 3.00 2.50
   
57 u/o 42
1.57   2.33
res.  
CHL 21:45
Dortmund - Real Madrid
   
43 26 28
2.50 3.60 2.75
U 16
55 u/o 44
2.55   1.53
res.  
CHL 21:45
CSKA Moscow - Tottenham
   
51 24 22
3.10 3.40 2.35
   
49 u/o 50
1.84   2.00
res.  
CHL 21:45
Din. Zagreb - Juventus
   
48 25 25
12.50 6.00 1.26
U 6
51 u/o 48
2.20   1.70
res.  
CHL 21:45
FC Copenhagen - Club Brugge
1 16
72 10 6
1.80 3.65 4.65
O 27
23 u/o 76
1.80   2.06
res.  
CHL 21:45
Leicester - Porto
1 16
63 19 14
2.15 3.40 3.55
O 9
43 u/o 56
1.76   2.12
res.  
CHL 21:45
Monaco - Leverkusen
   
67 21 10
2.45 3.35 3.00
U 5
58 u/o 41
1.87   1.97
res.  
CHL 21:45
Sevilla - Lyon
   
51 24 22
1.80 3.70 4.50
U 2
49 u/o 50
2.15   1.73
res.  
CHL 21:45
Sp.Lisbon - Legia
   
55 24 19
1.24 6.50 12.50
U 12
52 u/o 47
2.50   1.56
res.  
EGC 21:45
Barnsley (23) - Aston Villa
   
51 25 22
2.90 3.10 2.50
   
54 u/o 45
1.84   1.97
res.  
EGC 21:45
Birmingham (18) - Preston
1 9
57 23 17
2.10 3.20 3.60
O 0
54 u/o 45
1.66   2.23
res.  
EGC 21:45
Blackburn (10) - Sheffield Wed (17)
   
26 27 46
3.50 3.30 2.15
U 5
57 u/o 42
1.93   1.87
res.  
EGC 21:45
Brentford - Reading (6)
   
62 21 15
2.30 3.35 3.10
O 2
47 u/o 52
1.81   2.00
res.  
EGC 21:45
Bristol City - Leeds (11)
2 1
44 25 29
2.10 3.25 3.55
   
50 u/o 49
1.88   1.92
res.  
EGC 21:45
Burton - QPR (3)
   
44 25 29
2.60 3.30 2.70
O 2
50 u/o 49
1.71   2.14
res.  
EGC 21:45
Cardiff - Derby (4)
   
40 26 33
2.70 3.30 2.60
O 0
52 u/o 47
1.71   2.14
res.  
EGC 21:45
Huddersfield (13) - Rotherham
   
62 21 15
1.50 3.90 6.80
   
47 u/o 52
2.00   1.80
res.  
EGC 21:45
Ipswich (8) - Brighton (7)
   
26 27 46
3.45 3.15 2.15
   
57 u/o 42
1.63   2.28
res.  
EGC 21:45
Nottingham F. (5) - Fulham
   
44 25 29
2.35 3.40 2.85
U 2
50 u/o 49
2.08   1.74
res.  
EGC 21:45
Wigan (9) - Wolves
   
41 25 32
2.50 3.30 2.85
O 0
50 u/o 49
1.76   2.06
res.  
EG1 21:45
Bradford (13) - Fleetwood
   
53 24 21
1.80 3.50 4.50
O 4
49 u/o 50
1.65   2.18
res.  
EG1 21:45
Charlton - Oldham (15)
   
47 24 27
1.80 3.50 4.50
O 2
47 u/o 52
1.75   2.02
res.  
EG1 21:45
Chesterfield - Gillingham (12)
   
40 26 32
2.35 3.30 3.00
U 0
51 u/o 48
1.98   1.78
res.  
EG1 21:45
MK Dons (11) - Bury
2 2
42 25 30
2.00 3.50 3.60
   
51 u/o 48
1.93   1.83
res.  
EG1 21:45
Port Vale (10) - Millwall
   
38 25 35
3.10 3.50 2.20
O 0
47 u/o 52
1.83   1.93
res.  
EG1 21:45
Rochdale - Bolton
   
40 27 31
2.55 3.40 2.65
   
56 u/o 43
1.73   2.05
res.  
EG1 21:45
Sheffield Utd (22) - Bristol R.
   
37 26 36
1.85 3.50 4.25
   
52 u/o 47
1.85   1.91
res.  
EG1 21:45
Shrewsbury (23) - Peterborough (6)
   
33 27 38
3.20 3.50 2.15
U 7
56 u/o 43
2.05   1.73
res.  
EG1 21:45
Southend - Oxford
2 1
30 27 41
2.80 3.25 2.50
U 1
56 u/o 43
1.83   1.93
res.  
EG1 21:45
Swindon (9) - Northampton
   
46 25 27
2.80 3.30 2.50
   
51 u/o 48
1.75   2.02
res.  
EG1 21:45
Walsall (7) - Scunthorpe
   
31 25 43
3.25 3.30 2.20
   
48 u/o 51
1.83   1.93
res.  
EG2 21:45
Accrington (23) - Mansfield (15)
1 6
51 25 22
2.20 3.30 3.30
   
53 u/o 46
1.75   2.02
res.  
EG2 21:45
Blackpool - Portsmouth (18)
   
30 27 41
3.50 3.30 2.10
   
57 u/o 42
1.75   2.02
res.  
EG2 21:45
Cambridge United - Yeovil
   
43 25 30
2.15 3.40 3.30
O 0
49 u/o 50
1.75   2.02
res.  
EG2 21:45
Cheltenham (14) - Stevenage
2 3
37 28 34
2.15 3.50 3.20
U 8
59 u/o 40
1.98   1.78
res.  
EG2 21:45
Crawley - Colchester
2 9
23 23 52
3.00 3.40 2.30
   
44 u/o 55
1.98   1.78
res.  
EG2 21:45
Doncaster - Carlisle
2 0
43 25 29
2.05 3.40 3.50
   
50 u/o 49
1.93   1.83
res.  
EG2 21:45
Exeter (13) - Notts Co.
   
43 25 30
2.35 3.50 2.85
   
49 u/o 50
1.98   1.78
res.  
EG2 21:45
Grimsby - Newport County (7)
   
46 25 27
1.80 3.60 4.30
U 0
49 u/o 50
2.05   1.73
res.  
EG2 21:45
Hartlepool (16) - Luton
X 1
24 30 44
3.30 3.50 2.10
U 19
70 u/o 29
1.98   1.78
res.  
EG2 21:45
Leyton Orient - Plymouth (11)
X2 11
24 30 44
2.30 3.40 3.00
U 14
70 u/o 29
1.78   1.98
res.  
EG2 21:45
Wycombe (20) - Crewe
2 15
22 26 51
2.45 3.40 2.80
   
57 u/o 42
1.75   2.02
res.  
IRP 21:45
Cork City (7) - Galway
   
75 17 5
1.32 4.75 9.50
U 2
58 u/o 41
1.78   1.98
res.  
IRP 21:45
Derry (4) - Shamrock (5)
2 14
21 30 47
2.40 3.10 3.00
U 9
70 u/o 29
1.65   2.18
res.  
IRP 21:45
St.Patricks (1) - Sligo Rovers (3)
   
64 23 11
2.35 3.20 3.00
U 4
64 u/o 35
1.68   2.12
res.  
EG2 22:00
Barnet - Morecambe (9)
   
51 25 22
1.92 3.60 3.75
U 3
53 u/o 46
2.02   1.74
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.