league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
CHL 18:00
Aktobe Lento - Steaua
   
53 24 21
3.10 3.30 2.20
O 5
51 u/o 48
1.55   2.35
res.  
CHL 21:00
Ludogorets - Partizan Belgrad
   
29 26 44
1.90 3.30 4.00
O 3
52 u/o 47
1.60   2.25
res.  
CHL 21:30
Maribor - Maccabi Tel Aviv
2 7
33 25 40
2.35 3.15 3.00
O 10
46 u/o 53
1.55   2.35
res.  
CHL 21:45
Legia - Celtic
   
51 23 23
2.70 3.20 2.50
O 10
43 u/o 56
1.65   2.16
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.