league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
AR1 0:10
Arsenal Sarandi (2) - Godoy Cruz (6)
   
45 29 24
2.00 3.15 3.70
U 5
67 u/o 32
1.62   2.23
res. 3-0
AR1 2:30
Newells Old Boys (1) - Banfield
   
50 28 20
1.80 3.40 4.25
U 5
66 u/o 33
1.64   2.18
res. 0-3
CHL 19:00
CSKA Moscow - Bayern M
   
41 29 28
10.00 5.00 1.32
U 21
64 u/o 35
2.35   1.57
res.  
CHL 21:45
APOEL Nicosia - Ajax
   
58 22 18
2.95 3.30 2.40
O 3
47 u/o 52
1.74   2.04
res.  
CHL 21:45
BATE Borisov - Ath.Bilbao
   
40 26 32
4.85 3.50 1.75
   
51 u/o 48
1.79   1.98
res.  
CHL 21:45
Man City - Roma
   
56 23 19
1.63 3.90 5.25
U 2
48 u/o 51
2.18   1.65
res.  
CHL 21:45
Paris SG - Barcelona
   
52 23 22
3.50 3.40 2.10
O 0
45 u/o 54
1.90   1.86
res.  
CHL 21:45
Schalke 04 - Maribor
   
39 26 33
1.30 5.50 10.00
U 10
53 u/o 46
2.30   1.58
res.  
CHL 21:45
Shakhtar Dnk. - Porto
   
56 23 19
2.45 3.20 2.95
O 3
48 u/o 51
1.71   2.08
res.  
CHL 21:45
Sp.Lisbon - Chelsea
   
49 26 23
5.00 3.70 1.68
U 2
56 u/o 43
1.85   1.91
res.  
SCP 21:45
Aberdeen (2) - St. Mirren (9)
1 7
71 17 8
1.57 3.75 5.50
   
46 u/o 53
1.00   1.00
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.