league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
WRC 13:30
Australia - Iraq
   
56 22 19
1.33 5.00 11.00
   
45 u/o 54
2.00   1.85
res.  
WRC 13:35
Japan - U.A.E.
   
84 13 0
1.25 5.50 12.00
   
67 u/o 32
2.10   1.70
res.  
WRC 14:00
South Korea - China
   
0 0 0
1.35 4.50 9.50
   
0 u/o 0
1.62   2.20
res.  
WRC 18:00
Uzbekistan - Syria
   
84 13 0
1.50 3.85 7.00
   
67 u/o 32
1.62   2.20
res.  
WRC 19:30
Iran - Qatar
   
84 13 0
1.55 3.85 6.00
   
67 u/o 32
1.68   2.10
res.  
WRC 20:30
Saudi Arabia - Thailand
   
79 7 2
1.36 4.50 9.00
   
30 u/o 69
1.92   1.82
res.  
CNF 21:45
Belgium - Spain
2 3
33 23 41
2.75 3.22 2.65
O 14
40 u/o 59
1.69   2.23
res.  
CNF 21:45
Netherlands - Greece
   
56 24 18
1.48 4.00 7.25
O 0
55 u/o 44
1.65   2.28
res.  
CNF 21:45
Portugal - Gibraltar
   
69 19 9
1.01 21.00 55.00
   
54 u/o 45
1.00   1.00
res.  
CNF 22:00
Italy - France
2 18
18 21 58
2.85 3.20 2.50
O 17
42 u/o 57
1.55   2.50
res.  
WRC 23:00
Bolivia - Peru
   
0 0 0
2.20 3.15 3.40
   
0 u/o 0
1.76   2.07
res.  
WRC 23:30
Colombia - Venezuela
   
84 13 0
1.34 4.75 8.50
   
67 u/o 32
1.85   1.95
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.