league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
US1 4:30
Colorado Rapids - Chivas USA
   
60 23 15
1.62 3.70 5.00
U 2
54 u/o 45
1.93   1.83
res. 3-0
FN1 16:00
Jaro (8) - Seinajoen JK
   
43 24 31
2.55 3.20 2.70
O 12
44 u/o 55
1.56   2.33
res. 0-1
NO1 16:30
Aalesund (1) - Lillestrom (7)
   
42 28 28
2.25 3.50 3.00
U 12
60 u/o 40
2.10   1.70
res.  
SW1 17:00
Malmo (6) - Kalmar (4)
   
47 26 25
1.57 3.90 5.50
U 3
55 u/o 44
1.92   1.85
res.  
FN1 17:00
Inter Turku (7) - HJK Helsinki (1)
   
0 36 63
5.00 3.40 1.67
   
91 u/o 8
1.73   2.05
res.  
AU1 17:30
Wolfsberger AC - Austria Wien (1)
   
34 26 38
3.20 3.10 2.20
U 2
52 u/o 47
2.02   1.74
res.  
DN1 18:00
AaB Aalborg (2) - FC Midtjylland (1)
   
44 25 29
2.45 3.40 2.80
   
48 u/o 51
1.93   1.83
res.  
CZ1 18:00
Jablonec (3) - Brno (10)
   
50 28 21
1.45 3.85 6.50
U 9
64 u/o 35
1.83   1.93
res.  
CZ1 18:00
Pribram (12) - Plzen (2)
   
39 23 35
5.25 3.85 1.58
O 3
40 u/o 59
1.95   1.80
res.  
HE1 18:45
Grasshoppers (3) - Thun (7)
X 2
41 29 28
1.60 3.70 5.75
U 11
64 u/o 35
1.90   1.85
res.  
BL1 19:00
Waasland-Beveren (15) - Club Brugge (3)
   
32 27 38
4.95 3.65 1.70
U 4
57 u/o 42
1.88   1.88
res.  
SW1 19:00
Halmstad (9) - Gefle (8)
2 5
39 25 34
2.05 3.25 3.45
   
49 u/o 50
1.85   1.91
res.  
PL1 19:00
Pogon Szczecin (3) - Slask (11)
   
45 25 28
2.75 3.20 2.55
O 1
51 u/o 48
1.68   2.12
res.  
NO1 19:00
Sandnes Ulf (11) - Stromsgodset (6)
2 19
9 13 69
3.50 3.60 2.00
O 14
23 u/o 76
2.23   1.62
res.  
AU1 20:00
Rapid Wien (3) - Ried (6)
   
57 24 17
1.67 3.60 4.75
U 10
58 u/o 41
2.10   1.68
res.  
AU1 20:00
FC Magna (9) - Salzburg (2)
   
2 8 81
10.00 7.50 1.15
   
35 u/o 64
3.75   1.25
res.  
DN1 20:30
FC Copenhagen (3) - FC Nordsjalland (6)
   
43 23 31
1.75 3.75 4.50
O 4
38 u/o 61
2.04   1.74
res.  
BL1 21:00
Cercle Brugge (9) - Gent (8)
   
35 23 39
4.00 3.50 1.90
O 7
39 u/o 60
1.88   1.88
res.  
BL1 21:00
Lierse (13) - Oostende (12)
   
41 26 30
2.40 3.25 2.95
   
54 u/o 45
1.76   2.02
res.  
HE1 21:00
Sion (9) - St.Gallen (5)
   
43 25 30
2.40 3.25 2.90
O 5
49 u/o 50
1.63   2.20
res.  
CZ1 21:15
Slovacko (11) - Slavia Prague (9)
1 12
56 25 17
2.25 3.20 3.00
U 2
58 u/o 41
1.78   1.98
res.  
PL1 21:30
Cracovia (5) - Legia (1)
   
41 22 34
3.20 3.25 2.20
O 16
33 u/o 66
1.76   2.00
res.  
IRP 21:45
Athlone Town - St.Patricks (1)
   
58 21 18
7.50 4.00 1.40
O 2
42 u/o 57
1.93   1.83
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.