league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
US1 3:00
Kansas City - LA Galaxy
   
53 26 20
2.40 3.50 2.85
U 6
59 u/o 40
1.90   1.90
res. 1-1
EG1 14:15
Walsall (7) - Fleetwood
   
46 25 27
1.90 3.40 4.00
   
50 u/o 49
1.75   2.02
res.  
EGC 16:30
Brighton (7) - Derby (4)
   
49 24 25
1.60 4.00 5.70
   
50 u/o 49
1.95   1.85
res.  
RO1 18:00
Viitorul Constanta (15) - Fcm Targu Mures
   
39 26 33
1.40 4.25 7.50
   
53 u/o 46
1.75   2.00
res.  
EGC 18:45
Burnley (2) - QPR (3)
   
51 24 23
1.28 5.25 11.00
U 1
52 u/o 47
1.95   1.85
res.  
GE2 19:30
Karlsruhe (5) - SV Sandhausen (15)
1 3
57 21 19
1.85 3.50 4.40
O 10
43 u/o 56
1.64   2.18
res.  
DN1 20:00
Esbjerg (11) - OB Odense (7)
   
45 25 28
2.50 3.40 2.80
U 1
51 u/o 48
2.00   1.85
res.  
IT1 20:00
Genoa (9) - Roma (2)
   
18 26 54
5.50 4.10 1.61
U 12
60 u/o 39
2.10   1.73
res.  
NO1 20:00
Bodo/Glimt - Sarpsborg 08 (9)
   
49 23 25
2.30 3.50 3.00
O 2
42 u/o 57
2.02   1.82
res.  
SW1 20:00
AIK (11) - Jonkopings Sodra
1 2
66 19 12
1.57 4.20 5.75
   
47 u/o 52
2.10   1.76
res.  
SW1 20:00
Djurgaarden (15) - Ostersound FK
   
55 23 20
1.75 3.80 4.60
   
46 u/o 53
2.15   1.74
res.  
SW1 20:00
Gefle (8) - IFK Goteborg (1)
   
22 24 52
5.00 3.80 1.70
   
50 u/o 49
1.92   1.92
res.  
SW1 20:00
Norrkoping (2) - Helsingborg (5)
   
63 18 14
1.50 4.50 6.25
   
35 u/o 64
2.48   1.57
res.  
SW1 20:00
Kalmar (4) - Orebro
2 7
37 25 37
2.20 3.40 3.30
   
46 u/o 53
2.02   1.82
res.  
TR1 20:00
Kasimpasa (4) - Osmanlispor
   
37 26 34
2.55 3.30 2.70
U 3
54 u/o 45
1.96   1.80
res.  
RO1 20:30
Fc Astra Ploiesti (1) - Dinamo Bucuresti (5)
   
57 24 17
1.75 3.30 5.10
   
58 u/o 41
1.64   2.17
res.  
GE1 21:15
Bremen (5) - Stuttgart (14)
2 4
40 25 33
2.03 3.85 3.40
U 11
47 u/o 52
2.80   1.43
res.  
SP1 21:30
Malaga (16) - Levante (7)
1 14
61 22 15
2.15 3.50 3.50
O 0
50 u/o 49
1.80   2.05
res.  
IT2 21:30
Cesena (8) - Pro Vercelli
   
57 24 17
1.70 3.50 5.00
   
56 u/o 43
1.75   2.02
res.  
SP2 21:30
Athletic Club B - Leganes
2 17
11 19 67
3.55 3.50 2.00
   
50 u/o 49
1.74   2.04
res.  
FR2 21:30
Valenciennes - Nancy (8)
   
36 27 36
3.90 2.90 2.25
O 2
56 u/o 43
1.53   2.43
res.  
SCP 21:45
Dundee FC - Dundee U. (5)
   
50 22 25
2.40 3.40 2.85
O 6
37 u/o 62
2.02   1.80
res.  
EGP 22:00
Chelsea (1) - Tottenham (5)
2 8
27 24 47
2.80 3.55 2.59
   
45 u/o 54
2.15   1.74
res.  
IT1 22:00
Napoli (3) - Atalanta (15)
   
64 21 13
1.15 8.00 17.00
   
50 u/o 49
3.10   1.37
res.  
AR1 22:00
Rosario Central (11) - Gimnasia L.P. (7)
1 3
51 25 22
2.10 3.25 3.40
   
54 u/o 45
1.68   2.12
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.