league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
PL1 19:00
Ruch Chorzow (6) - Zaglebie Lubin (14)
2 6
27 27 44
2.85 3.10 2.60
   
60 u/o 40
1.64   2.18
res. 0-0
CZ1 19:00
Dukla Praha (6) - Liberec (5)
1 1
51 24 23
2.00 3.30 3.70
   
48 u/o 51
1.83   1.91
res. 2-0
GE2 19:30
FSV Frankfurt (9) - Greuth Furth (1)
   
36 28 35
3.20 3.20 2.30
   
59 u/o 40
1.68   2.12
res. 1-2
GE2 19:30
Paderborn (18) - Kaiserslautern (2)
   
30 30 39
2.95 3.30 2.40
U 8
65 u/o 34
1.74   2.04
res. 0-4
GE2 19:30
St.Pauli (10) - RB Leipzig
X 1
32 31 35
3.60 3.30 2.10
U 9
69 u/o 30
1.68   2.12
res. 1-0
TR1 20:00
Fenerbahce (1) - Kasimpasa (4)
   
55 21 21
1.50 4.25 5.80
O 5
36 u/o 63
2.06   1.73
res. 3-1
RO1 20:30
Fcm Targu Mures - Pandurii Tg Jiu (4)
   
45 27 26
2.40 3.10 3.00
   
59 u/o 40
1.62   2.20
res. 0-1
NT1 21:00
Cambuur - Utrecht (6)
   
30 27 41
3.90 3.65 1.90
U 11
58 u/o 41
2.15   1.70
res. 0-2
FR2 21:00
Ajaccio - Clermont Foot (10)
   
48 26 24
2.30 3.00 3.30
O 0
56 u/o 43
1.56   2.35
res. 3-1
FR2 21:00
Auxerre (13) - Nancy (8)
   
32 31 35
3.20 3.10 2.30
U 7
69 u/o 30
1.61   2.25
res. 2-2
FR2 21:00
Bourg Peronn. - Laval (17)
1 1
48 26 24
2.15 3.10 3.50
O 0
56 u/o 43
1.56   2.35
res. 0-0
FR2 21:00
Creteil (14) - Tours (4)
2 4
27 27 44
3.00 3.00 2.50
   
58 u/o 41
1.66   2.16
res. 2-2
FR2 21:00
Dijon (6) - Sochaux
   
0 36 63
1.75 3.40 4.90
   
91 u/o 8
1.61   2.25
res. 2-2
FR2 21:00
Niort (9) - Brest (16)
2 0
43 28 28
2.20 3.00 3.60
O 1
60 u/o 39
1.46   2.60
res. 1-2
FR2 21:00
Paris FC - Nimes (18)
2 1
33 26 39
2.85 3.00 2.60
   
54 u/o 45
1.66   2.16
res. 0-0
FR2 21:00
Red Star 93 - Croix Savoie
   
45 26 27
1.85 3.10 4.80
O 5
55 u/o 44
1.48   2.55
res. 2-2
PL1 21:30
Slask (11) - Wisla Krakow (4)
1 1
45 23 29
2.25 3.20 3.30
O 11
42 u/o 57
1.64   2.18
res.  
SP1 21:30
Gijon - Rayo Vallecano (17)
2 2
37 26 35
2.40 3.40 3.00
U 3
53 u/o 46
2.02   1.82
res.  
GE1 21:30
Mainz 05 (4) - Schalke 04 (13)
   
47 25 26
2.85 3.45 2.45
   
49 u/o 50
1.94   1.86
res.  
BL1 21:30
Gent (8) - Mouscron
   
77 14 4
1.33 5.40 8.75
   
49 u/o 50
2.48   1.54
res.  
FR1 21:30
Rennes (15) - Angers
   
38 28 32
1.95 3.30 4.23
   
60 u/o 39
1.51   2.55
res.  
IT2 21:30
Pescara (5) - Vicenza
   
48 27 23
1.75 3.30 5.00
   
60 u/o 39
1.66   2.16
res.  
IT1 21:45
Carpi - Roma (2)
   
24 22 51
4.20 3.50 1.90
O 11
39 u/o 60
1.76   2.06
res.  
SCP 21:45
Dundee FC - St.Johnstone (6)
   
43 26 29
2.60 3.35 2.65
   
53 u/o 46
1.78   2.02
res.  
EG1 21:45
Burton - Chesterfield
   
55 23 19
1.65 3.75 5.50
   
50 u/o 49
1.81   2.00
res.  
PR1 22:30
Benfica (1) - Porto (2)
1 5
49 26 23
2.25 3.20 3.30
   
58 u/o 41
1.65   2.23
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.