league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
RU1 17:00
Gazovik Orenburg - Zenit (4)
X 4
25 31 43
5.75 3.65 1.60
U 8
70 u/o 29
1.61   2.25
res. 0-1
RU1 19:30
Arsenal Tula - Krylya Sovetov (10)
   
54 23 21
2.38 2.95 3.15
O 9
48 u/o 51
1.55   2.38
res. 2-0
RU1 19:30
CSKA Moscow (3) - Lok. Moscow (5)
1 8
63 22 12
1.83 3.20 4.60
O 5
56 u/o 43
1.45   2.65
res. 4-0
RU1 19:30
Rubin Kazan (7) - Terek Grozny (14)
   
43 27 28
1.92 3.15 4.20
O 4
57 u/o 42
1.47   2.60
res. 0-1
SW1 20:00
-1 - Ostersound FK
X 3
43 30 25
4.60 3.75 1.76
U 18
69 u/o 30
1.95   1.86
res. 1-3
SW1 20:00
Sundsvall - Elfsborg (10)
   
26 24 48
4.00 3.70 1.87
   
46 u/o 53
2.05   1.78
res. 1-1
SW1 20:00
IFK Goteborg (1) - Hammarby
   
57 22 18
1.66 3.95 5.10
   
44 u/o 55
2.04   1.79
res. 1-1
SW1 20:00
Orebro - Hacken (12)
   
44 25 30
2.95 3.50 2.32
U 6
48 u/o 51
2.40   1.58
res. 0-0
SP1 20:30
Barcelona (1) - Osasuna (19)
   
73 4 1
1.04 21.00 34.00
   
18 u/o 81
6.40   1.12
res.  
SP1 21:30
Leganes - Las Palmas
   
50 25 23
1.65 3.95 5.50
U 1
52 u/o 47
1.98   1.86
res.  
SP1 21:30
Valencia (11) - R.Sociedad (9)
   
37 28 34
2.65 3.55 2.60
U 15
58 u/o 41
2.30   1.64
res.  
BL1 21:30
Club Brugge (3) - Oostende (12)
   
63 19 14
1.46 4.40 7.00
   
43 u/o 57
2.18   1.69
res.  
BL1 21:30
Mechelen (11) - St Truiden
1 3
56 20 20
1.88 3.55 4.20
O 11
36 u/o 63
1.88   1.92
res.  
BL1 21:30
Mouscron - Lokeren (5)
2 13
31 27 41
2.07 3.45 3.55
U 3
56 u/o 43
1.88   1.92
res.  
EGP 21:45
Arsenal (2) - Leicester
1 3
68 18 10
1.55 4.55 6.25
U 8
45 u/o 54
2.70   1.48
res.  
EGP 21:45
Middlesbrough - Sunderland (18)
1 6
51 25 21
2.23 3.45 3.50
   
55 u/o 44
1.80   2.05
res.  
EGP 22:00
Crystal Palace (15) - Tottenham (5)
   
19 20 58
5.75 4.35 1.61
O 2
36 u/o 63
2.30   1.64
res.  
SP1 22:30
Dep La Coruna - Real Madrid (3)
   
6 12 75
8.00 5.00 1.40
   
35 u/o 64
2.85   1.44
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.