league ko
match tip V
  %
1 X 2
tip V
% u/o
U O
ft
BR1 3:00
Atletico MG (16) - Gremio (5)
   
54 24 20
2.30 3.15 3.00
   
54 u/o 45
1.66   2.16
res. 0-3
CNF 18:30
Slovakia - Georgia
   
56 23 19
1.67 3.70 5.50
O 6
50 u/o 49
1.59   2.35
res.  
CNF 19:00
Czech Republic - Malta
   
38 30 30
1.15 8.00 17.00
U 23
66 u/o 33
2.33   1.56
res.  
CNF 21:00
Morocco - Congo
   
36 25 36
1.60 3.50 5.70
O 7
49 u/o 50
1.57   2.33
res.  
CNF 21:30
Croatia - Moldova
   
46 26 26
1.15 8.00 16.00
U 13
56 u/o 43
2.32   1.57
res.  
CNF 21:45
Ireland - Netherlands
   
43 29 26
3.40 3.20 2.25
U 5
64 u/o 35
1.69   2.23
res.  
CNF 21:45
N.Ireland - Belarus
   
46 26 26
1.82 3.20 5.20
O 7
56 u/o 43
1.43   2.75
res.  

Football predictions using improved Elo rating method

Predictions are based on Elo rating adjusted for football. Results from method are passed to poisson distribution and final results are shown as percents.

The column V is indicator for value bet

Football tips are predicted on the fly. When the odds drops and there is no value, the tips is removed. Predictions with value closed to zero will be removed if odd go down.

The graph below shows performance of this method from 1.6.2013 until now. Blue line is daily profit and red line is balance.

The stake is 1 unit. If we have 1X or X2 the stake is 2 units, one on draw and one on 1 or 2.