# Football Preditctions - 10th September 2018

Time
FT
Match
Tip
Probability
1
X
2
U
O
U2.5
O2.5
00:45
1
0
Olimpia(1)
00:45
1X
53
24
23
1.92
3.60
3.98
50
50
1.93
1.90
01:00
0
2
Paraná(20)
Santos(11)
01:00
X2
29
32
38
3.30
2.90
2.20
72
28
1.49
2.50
01:00
1
0
Vitória(14)
Vasco da Gama(16)
01:00
X1
41
39
21
2.30
3.10
2.90
85
15
1.57
2.33
21:00
0
1
Jong AZ(17)
Jong Ajax(12)
21:00
X2
38
18
43
2.30
4.10
2.50
11
89
3.10
1.36
21:00
1
0
Lugo(13)
21:00
X2
14
53
32
2.88
2.95
2.63
96
4
1.61
2.25
21:45
1
0
Portugal(3)
Italy(2)
21:45
1
67
14
17
2.21
3.16
3.68
10
90
1.68
2.29
21:45
2
3
Sweden(2)
Turkey(3)
21:45
1
75
13
10
1.96
3.38
4.50
19
81
1.67
2.31
21:45
2
0
Scotland(2)
Albania(1)
21:45
X2
33
27
40
1.67
3.54
6.59
54
46
1.57
2.45
21:45
2
2
Serbia(1)
Romania(2)
21:45
1X
53
22
25
1.50
4.27
7.65
35
65
1.76
2.13
21:45
2
0
Montenegro(2)
Lithuania(4)
21:45
1
79
16
5
1.45
4.01
10.59
52
48
1.62
2.36
21:45
1
1
Andorra(2)
Kazakhstan(4)
21:45
X2
21
57
21
7.42
3.43
1.65
97
3
1.43
2.82
21:45
2
0
Kosovo(2)
Faroe Islands(1)
21:45
X2
19
44
37
1.59
3.88
6.92
91
9
1.59
2.40
21:45
1
1
Malta(4)
Azerbaijan(2)
21:45
X1
38
45
16
5.26
3.26
1.86
92
8
1.47
2.70

The most common football (soccer) predictions and betting on is on regular time (90 minutes result). We are basically predicting whether the result at the end of regular time will be one of three options – win, draw or lose. Here we are using Poasson distribution to calculate percents for all tree possible outcomes. The method test all possible permutation of results up to 5 goals. 1-0,2-0,5-5 … The score with biggest percent is used for correct score. By calculating all results below 2.5 goals, we predict the under 2.5 tip.